Odds
response to Michael A.M. Lerner and Ethan Hill's post The New Nostradamus
I predict that the 3% failure rate of Bueno de Mesquita’s system, included 9/11 and Iraq.
Please do not expect us to believe he was not consulted before hand about these easily avoidable national catastrophes. I am at a loss to understand why he was not asked such an obvious question by the interviewer.
I am at a still greater loss to understand why I haven't seen this in the major media by now. I'm sure Dr. Rice will clear up all our questions when the book come out.
Yeah, sure.
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Predictions about Bueno de Mesquita’s predictions
Who is saying he wasn't consulted on the confluence of events that led to 9/11 or the (what seemed obvious to even me before we even did it) catastrophic outcome of invading Iraq? I'm not saying Bueno de Mesquita did predict these events. I'm only saying that Bush and his administration have not been interested in taking the advice of anyone who wasn't telling them what they wanted to hear, even if that person had a 97% prediction accuracy rate.
Posted on October 19, 2007 — by mattmerk
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