response to Michael A.M. Lerner and Ethan Hill's post The New Nostradamus
Future history
Commented on October 30, 2007 by - lebeau
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Revisiting Azimov's psycho-history is right. If one knows human nature and also knows history, then one can predict future-history. Situations re-occur, Human nature stays the same. That is why Thucydides is still pertinent today, and also why people think Nostrodamus is predicting the future when he is just re-affirming that human nature remains constant. Azimov, however, realized psycho-history's limitations and knew its precision would fail. Put this idea on the fiction shelf right between Nostrodamus and the Foundation series.